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European Journal of Applied Sciences – Vol. 12, No. 6

Publication Date: December 25, 2024

DOI:10.14738/aivp.126.17903.

Brunt, W. V. (2024). The Bell Can Be Un-Rung Climate Change Can Be Undone. European Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol - 12(6).

189-224.

Services for Science and Education – United Kingdom

The Bell Can Be Un-Rung Climate Change Can Be Undone

William Van Brunt

JFA, LLC

ABSTRACT

Commencing nearly a decade ago, the scientific literature has shown that changes

in the concentration of water vapor, a greenhouse gas with a heating power 400

times greater than carbon dioxide, CO2, closely match changes in the average

global temperature. The foregoing notwithstanding, while there is no correlation

between changes in the average global temperature and changes in the

concentration of CO2; still a large community of interests including the

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), academia, agencies of

government, various research institutions and enterprises, tens of thousands of

scientists, public officials and policy makers which have worked for over three

decades without proof, continue to assert that it is the increasing atmospheric

concentration of CO2 that drives global warming. Thus, the myopic focus of this

de-carbon community remains reducing carbon emissions. This is a major

problem, because, while the data and the physics have clearly shown that when

the global concentration of water vapor is reduced, the result is global cooling and

reductions in catastrophic weather. and these relationships have not been

discussed in the preeminent scientific literature. As a direct consequence, no steps

to drive increased precipitation to reduce the concentration of water vapor have

been undertaken. As each year passes, the size of the reduction sufficient to

reverse global warming grows, thus, increasing the time necessary to effect this,

which may take decades as annual devastation from catastrophic weather

increases at a rate of $45 bn US every decade. To fight climate change, the policy

must change to focus on encouraging the development of effective, efficient and

sufficient means of increasing precipitation.

Key Policy Considerations

1. Annual global economic losses from the devastation wreaked by the increasing

incidence and severity of catastrophic weather have grown by 1,400 % since the

seventies, today, exceeding US $160 bn, increasing by US $5 bn annually.

2. Climate change, the growing incidence of catastrophic weather and global warming, is

driven solely by the increasing concentration of water vapor.

3. Increasing global precipitation, thereby decreasing the average global concentration of

water vapor, will reduce both impacts of climate change.

4. Therefore, the policy to address climate change must encourage development of

sufficient, efficient and effective means of increasing global precipitation.

INTRODUCTION

Impact of Climate Change

Why have I devoted 10 years of my life, unpaid, to this research and this effort? Along with

some plagues and the ice ages, the current and likely future changes in our climate are among

the gravest problems humankind has ever faced. I care about humankind and the truth.

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European Journal of Applied Sciences (EJAS) Vol. 12, Issue 6, December-2024

This is what we are facing. These catastrophic weather impacts are growing every year.

The combination of global warming and significant long-term alterations in weather patterns

caused by extreme weather have caused prolonged and more extreme heat waves. The daily

high temperature in London in July rarely exceeds 29 °C (84 °F). In 2022, the New York Times

reported that Britain made meteorological history when temperatures in some places topped

40.3° Celsius (104.5° Fahrenheit) for the first time ever recorded in the United Kingdom [1].

In June and July of 2022, a Thousand People Died in Portugal and Spain from the Extreme

Heat. [1] NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies clocks July 2023 as hottest month on

record ever since 1880 [2]. Drought dried, brush fueled, and wind driven, massive wildfires

are occurring far more often, worldwide as are more severe and longer droughts, coupled

with the whiplash effects of severe drought followed by massive flooding on sunbaked soil,

Turning Arable Land to Desert.

This is the Result. [3-5]

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Brunt, W. V. (2024). The Bell Can Be Un-Rung Climate Change Can Be Undone. European Journal of Applied Sciences, Vol - 12(6). 189-224.

URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.14738/aivp.126.17903

Since the seventies, as millions have died, been injured, displaced and lost their livelihoods, a

large community comprised of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC),

universities, governmental agencies, various institutions and enterprises and those in their

employ, including thousands of scientists and public officials, have focused solely on and

advocated the policy of reducing CO2 emissions as the way to fight global warming. This “de- carbon industry" has reaped hundreds of billions in grants, revenues and carbon taxes, as the

resulting increases in average, annual, global, economic costs from carbon emission

reductions rose in the trillions.

The policy of battling global warming by limiting carbon emissions has had and can have no

impact on global warming. Carbon dioxide, CO2, does not play a role in global warming.

Climate change, both the increasing average global temperature and the incidence and

severity of catastrophic weather, which has increased by 1,400% since the decade of the

seventies, is driven solely by cumulative changes in the concentration of water vapor

resulting from changes in sea surface temperatures, SST, in the region of the Eastern

Equatorial Pacific where El Niños arise, the ENSO region, five months earlier. As shown,

almost every other year, by reducing the atmospheric concentration of water vapor, the result

when average global precipitation exceeds evaporation, average global temperature and the

incidence and severity of catastrophic weather, is reduced. That the increasing concentration

of water vapor drives climate change is crystal clear. It is not debatable. The de-carbon faction

of science is incurious. As a result, nothing is being done and something can and must be done

to reduce these massive threats. There can be only one effective policy – reduce the

concentration of water vapor, not carbon emissions, by increasing average global

precipitation. Yet, as average global temperatures and losses wreaked by catastrophic

weather continue to rise, the recognized climate “experts” virtually all of whom are part of the

de-carbon faction of climate science, have failed to advocate as the data and physics

demonstrate is required, for a reduction in the concentration of atmospheric water vapor to

reduce the annual devastation caused by catastrophic weather events and drive global

cooling. When an 11% reduction in the concentration of atmospheric water vapor could

completely reverse climate change, no steps to effect this have been taken.

The Claim That the Increasing Atmospheric Concentration of CO2 is the Driver of Global

Warming is Wrong

The “proof” the de-carbon faction offers is that the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is

increasing at the same time the average global temperature is rising—ergo, the increasing

concentration of CO2 is driving global warming. Most agree with this point and that consensus

is relatively easy to build and maintain when the scientific publications edited by the

academic elements of this faction deny publication of any inconsistent suggestions out of hand

and hold sway among the media and therefore with governments and society, not unlike how

the concept of geocentricity (the Earth is the center of the universe) was generally accepted,

holding sway for centuries, in part because the Sun and the sky rose in the East and set in the

West and it was advocated by the Church. Disagreeing publicly meant being tried as a heretic,

possibly being tortured and burned alive and in any event excluded from communion and

denied entrance to heaven. This stood directly in the way of the advancement of science for

several centuries. Because YoY changes in the concentration of CO2 are unrelated to and do

not correlate with YoY changes in the average global temperature, this CO2 hypothesis is as